Official Statistics of Finland

Population projection

Producer: Statistics Finland

Latest release:
The decline in the birth rate is reflected in the population development of areas
30 Sep 2019
According to Statistics Finland's latest population projection, if the birth rate remains at the current level there will be no regions in Finland where births exceed deaths in 15 years. Based on the current development, Finlands population will start decreasing in 2031. In 2050, the population would be some 100,000 lower than today.

Description: Population projections describe future population developments. Statistics Finland’ population projections are so-called demographic trend calculations, which calculate the future population for a given area assuming that the development that has taken place in its population in recent years continues unchanged. A by-product of projection calculations by municipality is a so-called self-sufficiency estimate, which describes how the population would develop if there was no migration.
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Keywords: birth rate, forecasting, increase of population, migration, mortality, natality, population, population changes, population projections, projections, vital statistics.
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Change: New population projection will be published in November: data on the level of the whole country
15 Oct 2018
Statistics Finland will publish the new population projection on 16 November 2018.

Referencing instructions:

Official Statistics of Finland (OSF): Population projection [e-publication].
ISSN=1798-5153. Helsinki: Statistics Finland [referred: 23.1.2021].
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